Matt over at Fruits and Votes writes:
Various news reports have noted that last week’s accord regarding the
Lebanese political standoff included electoral reform. One report I
heard (via Mosaic; it might have been from Dubai TV, but I do
not recall) referred to reinstating the electoral system from the
1960s, but with some new “special provisions” (or words to that effect)
for the division of Beirut and other large districts.
To avoid the problems of the old Lebanese constitution, the trick will be creating an electoral system that fairly represents the sectarian distribution (Shi'a, Druze, Maronite Christians, etc.) without either (1) creating a formula that won't represent demographic realities several years from now, (2) excite arguments over what the word "fair" means in electoral terms, or (3) put a fig-leaf of respectability over the dominance of a particular faction, such as Hezbollah. (On that last point, click here for Matt's excellent analysis of how the electoral system was responsible for Hamas' victory in the 2006 Palestinian elections.)
A finely-tuned electoral system won't, by itself, end Lebanon's current conflict. However, it's hard to imagine a resolution without it. Here's where the United States should be playing the role of impartial referee or judge, but can't, given its current standing in the Middle East.
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