I'm returning to writing Arms and Influence after the longest absence so far. I could cite any number of valid reasons, mostly related to work, that have interfered with blogging. However, I have to be brutally honest about another reason: disgust.
Blogging runs on hope. You have no idea who reads you, but you hope that someone does, and will take you seriously enough to respond once in a while. You'd have to be an egomaniac to think that you'll impart more than a tiny amount of momentum to the vector of current events, but you hope that you might nudge the world in a slightly more positive direction.
It's hard on the soul, therefore, to have your hopes dashed. I'm not saying that I've lapsed into complete hopelessness, but I have been plagued with a great deal of disgust.
With whom? Let's start with the Democratic Party. It's not hard to figure out why the President and the Congress both have abysmal approval ratings. In 2006, voters sent more Democrats to Washington because they expected them to take action against Administration policies that were variously bone-headed, illegal, and corrupt. The electorate expected hearings into important matters, such as the conduct of the Iraq war, that had received far less public discussion and Congressional oversight than they deserved. Voters also expected the newly-elected Democrats to impress us with history-making legislation, at a time when history seems to be making mincemeat of us.
We saw a little of these sorts of changes, but certainly not enough. There are two big problems with the Democratic Party right now. First, the leadership got immediately distracted by the 2008 presidential campaign. Apparently, Democratic legislators such as Rahm Emanuel think that the 2006 mid-term election was just the set-up for the 2008 presidential election. Here's a clip from HBO's Real Time, in which Emanuel claims that, if you want to fix the Iraq debacle, all you need to do is vote for the Democratic presidential candidate in 2008. (And just listen to the audience's response to that argument.)
Given the over-long, over-expensive, and over-televised presidential campaigns, I was worried last November that exactly this sort of distraction would occur. The distraction plays to a Democratic Party tendency that is the second major problem: never playing offense. The Democrats are still letting the other part set the political agenda. While the opposition keeps its followers mobilized through aggressive action, the Democrats keep their followers de-mobilized through timidity. (Mobilization is a lot more than asking for campaign contributions.)
In short, the Democrats act as if none of them really know anything about politics. In my fantasy world, I'm sending every Democratic leader and legislator a copy of The Prince, with the section on whether it's better to be feared or loved heavily underlined. No one is afraid of the Democrats. That's no surprise, since they don't take risks that might lose them votes.
Putting Democrats into power in 2006 was not merely a question of policy. Many citizens saw their votes as individual atoms that would help rebuild Constitutional authority in US politics. Part of the outrage against the Republicans, both in the White House and in Congress, has been their eagerness to circumvent or ignore parts of the Constitution that they found inconvenient. The silly notion of the unitary executive--it's not argued or supported well enough to deserve the label of "doctrine"--is only one facet of this indifference and even hostility to the Constitution.
In 2003, Americans collectively ignored the Constitutional checks on the President's warmaking powers, which are hardly absolute. In the last several years, Americans have seen the deliberate dismantling of habeas corpus, unreasonable search and seizure, due process, and other Constitutional guarantees. For these voters--the ones who often volunteered their time, money, and passion to support Democratic candidates--the Democrats in Congress had a far bigger responsibility than rectifying bad policies. They were also responsible for reconstructing the institutions that prevented bad policies from being pursued in the first place.
Before getting sucked into the world of committee meetings, legislative compromise, filibusters, and endless fundraising, every Senator and Congressman takes the following oath of office:
I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the
Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and
domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that
I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or
purpose of evasion; and that I will well and faithfully discharge the
duties of the office on which I am about to enter.
Every day on the job in Washington, these men and women pass the marble and granite manifestations of our Constitution. They frequently drive by the actual Constitution and Bill of Rights, as preserved in the National Archives. Every day, visitors to the capitol, people who have sworn no such oath, are impressed by the wisdom and gravity of the US form of government. We expect our elected representatives to share these feelings, and to be bound by the duties to "support and defend the Constitution," even if you lost a few votes in the process.
You now understand a big part of what has kept me from writing this blog for a month: it's hard to continue when you don't feel you're doing much good. Meanwhile, as we waste time on who might be the Republican or Democratic candidates for the presidency, men and women die every day in a war started in haste, waged indolently, undermining our national security, warping and breaking our form of government, and poisoning our national soul, but on which the man in the White House insists absolutely.
I've noticed the same tendencies in the Democratic majority in Congress, but I guess I'm more hopeful than you. The modern Congress doesn't function well without executive leadership (I guess the Newt-led 1990s Congress is an exception...perhaps its just Democratic-led legislative majorities that don't function well without executive leadership!). I'm hopeful that, once a presidential candidate has been selected, the party will coalesce around that candidate and we'll see more unity of effort and message!
Posted by: NoZe | 10/17/2007 at 18:24
I completely agree with you. Either the Dems are playing out the Iraq war and related GWOT issues out as ammunition for the 2008 elections or they're just merely incompetent after years of being ignored. I'd like to think it's the former, but not sure I like that either. It's been very frustrating to watch the Dems flounder around as the Repubs continue their very partisan opposition to any changes in the status quo.
However, having said that, I think I speak for the lurkers out here when I say, we miss your insightful discussions on national security issues and military affairs. Don't let The Man drag you down. You should keep on writing, educate us and let's dialogue.
Posted by: J. | 10/18/2007 at 04:58
I've been reading your blog for a while (nice, center-left commentary on military affairs), but you never struck me as one the immediate unconditional withdrawal guys.
Posted by: Andrew R. | 10/18/2007 at 06:27
I have come to the same place of disgust, but started from the position of actually voting for Bush (the first time). Your insightful and honest observations, along with my own sense of betrayal, has led me to abandon party loyalty altogether and begin thinking critically about a great many things. I can't speak for THE world, but your bloggin has nudged MY world in a much more positive direction.
Ron Paul is serious about the return to the Constitution that the Democrats were supposed to provide. His candidacy is providing me with what little hope I still have for our political process. I don't agree with everything he says, but I do respect the fact that he bases his positions on reasoned, Constitutional principles that I can support even if I disagree with his interpretation or application of those principles. The lesser of two evils is still evil, and I finally feel like I can vote for good. Check him out.
Posted by: Pode | 10/18/2007 at 07:21
I'm not an "immediate withdrawal guy." I do believe that the United States has lost the Iraq war, based on whatever version of the murky, mercurial war aims the Bush Administration set at various points. Sure, counterinsurgency and counterterrorism require long campaigns, but there is no substantial progress towards a more stable, legitimate Iraqi regime. Even that outcome doesn't automatically translate into the successful achievement of US national security objectives.
Which points to another great political flaw, on the part of the Dems: why wait on asserting more Congressional control of our Iraq strategy? Why set up a potential Democratic president to be the fall guy responsible for declaring defeat? Even if you believe in the Rahm Emanuel strategy (get a Democrat in the White House), that's hardly a brilliant political strategem.
Posted by: Kingdaddy | 10/18/2007 at 10:53
Glad that we have activity here again.
The disgust with the Democratic party and the limited change resulting from a midterm election are both excellent illustrations for why we need a conversation in this country about multiparty politics and about fundamental institutional reform. About democratization, that is, while our government becomes more authoritarian day by day, and our supposed "opposition" collaborates rather than opposes.
On those fronts, my reason for blogging is pretty much the same as Kingdaddy's ("you hope that you might nudge the world in a slightly more positive direction.") However, I spend a lot less time at Fruits & Votes on those themes, or on the problems with the current administration's supposed "opposition" than I used to, due to precisely the same sort of disgust mentioned here by Kingdaddy.
As for the Democrats and not taking more confrontational ("offensive") strategies, I no longer think this is the reason: "hey don't take risks that might lose them votes."
Sure, such a stance would be bold, but given the state of public opinion now, is there really much chance they would lose votes for aggressively going after this administration and its program of military domination leading to war without end?
I think they are more concerend with losing money than with votes. As in the big financiers of presidential and congressional campaigns don't want the boat rocked. Some GOP money is going to go to Clinton because she is safe. She can get the GOP out of office for 4 (or, worst case, 8) years, but she has made it abundantly clear that she differs only at the margins from the permanent-war policies of the incumbents. And her presidency will be great for resumed GOP fundraising in 2009 and beyond, and probably for winning back the House in 2010.
If that isn't an argument for establishing a new party that actually works on behalf of citizens, and for reforming American institutions, then I will submit that there must indeed be no such arguments.
Posted by: MSS | 10/18/2007 at 12:23
Kingdaddy says:
1. I'm not an "immediate withdrawal guy."
2. I do believe that the United States has lost the Iraq war.
**
Am I the only one who detects a logical problem with sentence two following immediately upon sentence one?
Usually defeated parties withdraw from the scene of their defeat. And now is as good a time as any. Or at least of any time that has not already passed.
Posted by: MSS | 10/18/2007 at 12:26
It all depends on how you disengage, and how much support you provide for the people left behind.
Posted by: Kingdaddy | 10/18/2007 at 15:33
Okay, Izzat al-Douri (or Ayub al-Masri) in charge of Iraq (or a rump Ba'ath/Salafi state) is a loss. I don't see how that outcome is by any means inevitable at this point.
Posted by: Andrew R. | 10/18/2007 at 19:50
Very glad to see Kingdaddy writing again. Sadly, I share his feeling in spades. And I'm convinced that anybody who expects "leadership" from a Dem president is setting himself up for an even more bitter disappointment. Hell, they've already telegraphed that they're going to keep on keeping on in Iraq through their first term. It's their version of Pelosi's idiotic, gutless and shameful refusal to even *consider* impeachment. What they're saying is that they're not responsible -- it's their turn at the trough, and that's what matters. The corporate donors are casting the only ballots that really matter, now, long before the first lever is ever pulled.
And I'm not convinced any longer that traditional Democratic spinelessness and gutlessness explain why we're still shambling along in Iraq. I suspect the Dems *like* having the war as a campaign issue. I'm certain they love running against Bush. What semi-sentient politician wouldn't? He's justifiably loathed.
But in the end, with dauntingly few exceptions*, the Dems are pipsqueaks. Personalities don't matter much. I think that what the last few years have shown is that the Constitution is totally outmoded. The political structure it set up is now incapable of responding to external reality. Supposedly a Constitutional Convention is the remedy for that, but who would you trust to attend? And who do you think would end up actually calling the shots?
Anyway, before I scrap my Democratic Party registration -- after 30 years -- I'm casting one last primary vote for Kucinich. I'm not writing any checks or volunteering for any campaigns this time. It's quite possible that I won't even bother to show up for the general election.
* James Webb seems to mean what he says. To my knowledge he's the only Dem who's tried to head off a bigger disaster in Iran in a serious way. Not that it's done much good....
Posted by: sglover | 10/18/2007 at 22:52
sglover: "Anyway, before I scrap my Democratic Party registration -- after 30 years -- I'm casting one last primary vote for Kucinich."
Yes, that is precisely where I am, other than that I can't claim 30 years of Dem registration. Close, though, with a couple of exceptions for specific primary seasons.
The one thing I will not do, however, is sit out the general election. Unless, that is, Democrats successfully keep a Green or other peace-and-public-goods candidate off the ballot. Which is possible.
Posted by: MSS | 10/19/2007 at 11:37
Hey Kingdaddy.
I just wanted to encourage your noble and valuable contribution to collective dialogue.
Please remember that your writing IS hopeful. Inherently. The act of blogging is, itself, deeply human and transpersonal. You throw idea-stones onto the "pond", people become part of the ripple of ideas as they encounter and spread them...
Please don't be tempted by silence.
Only silence is hopeless.
Posted by: 1MaNLan | 10/21/2007 at 05:56