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The only explanation that comes to my mind is that the "risk evaluation" fell prey to "bureaucratic intelligence." Some experts probably assessed in a detached and probabilistic way that, yeah, it's unlikely that a terrorist would hijack an airplane with a bow and arrow. But when the experts' recommendations were being put together into a logical program for action no one reviewed the conclusions, thought "I guess ninja stars don't make good hijacking weapons, but why the hell would we allow them on an airplane anyway?" and made some intuitive modifications like removing ninja stars and ice picks from the "allowed" list.

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